Forecast Updated: 5:17am 31/07/2014

We in the midst of a very windy period with winds remaining strong through to Friday morning. Today could see winds well over 100km/h about the peaks, possibly reaching as high as 130km/h at times. Chairlifts could be on hold at times due to this so check lift status with resorts to avoid disappointment.

We should also see some showers in the resorts later today a before a cool change overnight brings snowfalls across the mountains. Snow should start to lower to around the 700-800m level on Friday before it eases early on Saturday. It looks like we could get around 15-30cm during this period. NSW looks likely to do a little better than the VIC resorts.

Following this should be mostly fine from the 3rd-8th with a large high pressure system moving over the country.

A series of weak fronts from the 9th looks like bringing light snow on and off for a few days with another 10cm possible during this time.

Looking long range there is chance of snow around the 16th and then the 20th-21st and 28th-29th are showing good potential for more snow.

Pete Taylor (aka The Frog)

(Please note: anyone publishing/copying any of the above material please quote the source as snowatch.com.au)


Early Season Outlook
Updated - 14th of April 2014

Current forecast models suggest we could be moving into an El Nino. This is not yet a certainty but what it would ‘usually’ mean is that we are looking at a season of warmer than average daytime temps with less precipitation. Now this is not all doom and gloom with the positives being that less precipitation means less chance of rain damaging the snow cover, and clear warmer days usually sees more cold clear nights which is good news for snowaking.

Looking back at previous years showing similar patterns and SOI (Southern Oscillation Index) readings what we have seen this year is that we are probably not likely to see a huge maximum snow depth. There have been good el nino years like 1991 and really bad years like 1982, 1993 and 2006. Some of these seasons have had good early snowfalls, others have started late and some never really got off the ground. What we can deduce from this is that there is no real definative answer as to what will happen in 2014. One or two good early falls can set up a season. A decent early run of snowmaking nights without rain following is paramount for early ski and boarding days, and this is probably the real positive for the early outlook.- plenty of cold nights with low humidity.

Pete Taylor (aka The Frog)

(Please note: anyone publishing/copying any of the above material please quote the source as snowatch.com.au)
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 No Snow Light Snow Heavy Snow

NSW

24hr Snow 0cm 0cm 0cm 0cm

Depth 168.5cm 168.5cm 168.5cm 60cm

Live Temps 0.4C 3.0C 2.5C 2.8C

VIC

24hr Snow 0cm 0cm 0cm 0cm

Depth 125cm 122cm 85cm 18.0cm

Live Temps 1.6C 1.2C 1.6C 2.2C