Updated: August 31st, 5:19am
A mostly fine start to the week with mostly sunshine with the occasional cloudy period through to Wednesday. Clouds should roll in later on Wednesday and we should see showers developing overnight that should continue for most of Thursday before turning to snow overnight about above around 1700m. Temps should drop a little on Friday with light snow to around 1400-1500m.

A high pressure system will then move over the mainland bringing mostly fine weather from the 5th through to the 12th. Light winds during this time will give excellent Spring skiing and boarding conditions.

Looking long range a cool change on the 13th should see some snow falling overnight and into the 14th. Following this we could see some shower activity before the next chance of snow around the 24th-25th.

Pete


Updated: 24th of April @ 02:38:52PM

Season 2015 Outlook and Early Season forecast
You might hear a lot about El Nino showing up again this season. El Nino would usually mean less rainfall over winter and spring. The bureau tells us that the likelihood of El Niño developing in 2015 is at least 70%. There have been 26 El Nino’s since 1900 with 17 leading to widespread drought conditions. I’d suggest forgetting about this for now as it shouldn’t have any real impact on the early part of our season. It’s effect will more than likely been seen from July into September.

The sea surface temps in the Indian Ocean are very warm at the moment and this has largely been the reason for the inland rainfall this month across the country. We should see moisture continuing to move across the country from the west over May and June with warmer than average temps, especially the minimum temps. This is not good news for the snowmakers as we like cold clear nights with low humidity/moisture levels to make snow. What looks like happening is plenty of cloudy days/nights with a lot of moisture in the air. It’s been a few years since we had a good run of snowmaking leading into the season and it looks like we might have to wait another year for that cycle to break (although fingers crossed we can get a few cold clear nights here and there before opening).



In short I see a fairly wet May, and June with July being the month for snowfalls as the temps start to drop and the moisture feed from the west dries up a little. Early August should also see some decent snow falling and plenty of cold nights for snowmaking, but it could be a bit too late to have any great impact on an already struggling season.

Pete (aka The Frog)

If publishing any of the above forecast outlook please quote Snowatch.com.au at the source.
Updated: August 28th, 3:26pm
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