Forecast Updated: 6:03am 26/07/2014

Cloudy with some showers likely and snow up high above around 1600m today and clearing later. Tomorrow should be mostly fine with light winds

Looking further ahead we should have some clear weather from the 27th-29th. Showers are likely across the 29th-30th before a change on the 31st should see the temps drop and snow start to fall to around 1300m and continue into the 1st and 2nd reaching down to 900m at times. Currently it looks like around 15-25cm during this time. Winds also look like being very strong on the 29th to 31st with current indications pointing to 120-130kmh winds about the peaks at times.

Following this should be mostly fine from the 3rd-8th with a large high pressure system moving over the country.

A weak front of the 9th should bring a little more snow above around 1400m, around 5cm or so. There could also be some light snow showers and flurries on and off for the next few days following.

Looking long range the 19th-20th are showing potential for snow.

Pete Taylor (aka The Frog)

(Please note: anyone publishing/copying any of the above material please quote the source as snowatch.com.au)


Early Season Outlook
Updated - 14th of April 2014

Current forecast models suggest we could be moving into an El Nino. This is not yet a certainty but what it would ‘usually’ mean is that we are looking at a season of warmer than average daytime temps with less precipitation. Now this is not all doom and gloom with the positives being that less precipitation means less chance of rain damaging the snow cover, and clear warmer days usually sees more cold clear nights which is good news for snowaking.

Looking back at previous years showing similar patterns and SOI (Southern Oscillation Index) readings what we have seen this year is that we are probably not likely to see a huge maximum snow depth. There have been good el nino years like 1991 and really bad years like 1982, 1993 and 2006. Some of these seasons have had good early snowfalls, others have started late and some never really got off the ground. What we can deduce from this is that there is no real definative answer as to what will happen in 2014. One or two good early falls can set up a season. A decent early run of snowmaking nights without rain following is paramount for early ski and boarding days, and this is probably the real positive for the early outlook.- plenty of cold nights with low humidity.

Pete Taylor (aka The Frog)

(Please note: anyone publishing/copying any of the above material please quote the source as snowatch.com.au)
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 No Snow Light Snow Heavy Snow

NSW

24hr Snow 1cm 1cm 0cm 0cm

Depth 168.5cm 168.5cm 168.5cm 80cm

Live Temps -0.9C 0.8C 0.8C 1.4C

VIC

24hr Snow 0cm 2cm 2cm 0cm

Depth 144cm 138cm 103cm 40.0cm

Live Temps 0.4C -0.3C 0.8C 1.2C